While Atiku continues to seek an alliance with Peter Obi, he realizes that the PDP is too compromised to support his presidential ambitions. As a result, Atiku is attempting to establish a new party under the northern coalition.
However, trying to secure the ticket again while also bringing back Peter Obi may be too much to ask from stakeholders. The truth is that Atiku needs the PDP’s structure more than the party needs him.
Meanwhile, Elrufai’s potential use of the SDP platform is not driven by a belief in the party’s ability to make a significant impact in 2027. Instead, his goals are to reclaim Kaduna and build national influence for 2031. It appears that Elrufai is planning to emulate RMK’s tactics to reclaim Kaduna state.
Elrufai intends to contest under the SDP and increase the party’s popularity in Kaduna state, which could help him regain control of the state. Depending on the SDP’s performance, locally or regionally, Elrufai can use this as leverage for 2031.
Peter Obi is also a key player in this scenario. Additionally, RMK needs to run to maintain his influence in Kano. RMK understands that joining a coalition would put him at risk, similar to what happened in 2019. Therefore, RMK must run on a solo ticket.
The opposition is in disarray. Any new coalition formed will likely be funded by APC money. BAT will likely have his people scattered throughout these new parties, providing daily reports. Politicians love money, and BAT is a generous donor.
Ultimately, BAT will fund all of these efforts, and in the end, it will all be about securing votes for the APC. The opposition will learn a valuable lesson in politics.
Whatever they are planning, it’s clear that they are planning it for the benefit of the APC. The opposition will be heavily funded, but ultimately, they will be funded by the very party they are trying to oppose.
I’ve never seen a group of people in such disarray. I wish the rudderless opposition well.
Varied opinions compiled and edited by Don Olive
